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How to use the CFTC weekly COT report

The COT report can be extremely confusing for novice traders, as the data is presented in several different formats and in addition of course, the CFTC have recently changed the reporting categories in an attempt to provide further transparency in the futures market. Whilst this...

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Open Interest British Pound 21 February 2010

Open interest in the British Pound increased dramatically last week moving strongly from 95,700 contracts of 2 weeks ago to 119k of 16th February, and as clearly evidenced on the weekly COT chart continues to increase from the low of mid December at 72k.  With...

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Gold – Weekly COT Index 30th March 2009

No real change since last week other than commercials still selling into a rising market, although the volume of contracts has substantially reduced in the futures market since this time last year.  As an example this time last year  the total number of positions was...

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COT Index – GBP Pound 30th March 2009

Everything I say may appear slightly contrarian when viewed using the COT index as an indicator but the British Pound is a good example at present which I hope will make the point with a little explanation.  At present the Commercial futures holders are net...

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Canadian Dollar – Cot Index 30th March 2009

The Canadian Dollar continues to remain a long term buy despite last week’s temporary reduction in both long and short positions but still leaving the Commercials with a net long view of this currency.   A look at the monthly usd to cad candle charts would...

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Japanese Yen – Cot Index 30th March 2009

The most meaningful aspect of the COT index for the Japanese Yen was the shift 3 weeks ago by commercial contract holders from being net short at the point to the current situation where they are net long by some significant margin.   However, as this...

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Australian Dollar w/e 27th March 2009

The Australian Dollar Cot data is very interesting this week as there appears to have been a major transfer of future contracts by the commercial holders who are now net short.  This is not unprecedented and happened at the end of last year.  This does...

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