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COT Index – GBP Pound 30th March 2009

Everything I say may appear slightly contrarian when viewed using the COT index as an indicator but the British Pound is a good example at present which I hope will make the point with a little explanation.  At present the Commercial futures holders are net...

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Canadian Dollar – Cot Index 30th March 2009

The Canadian Dollar continues to remain a long term buy despite last week’s temporary reduction in both long and short positions but still leaving the Commercials with a net long view of this currency.   A look at the monthly usd to cad candle charts would...

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Japanese Yen – Cot Index 30th March 2009

The most meaningful aspect of the COT index for the Japanese Yen was the shift 3 weeks ago by commercial contract holders from being net short at the point to the current situation where they are net long by some significant margin.   However, as this...

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Australian Dollar w/e 27th March 2009

The Australian Dollar Cot data is very interesting this week as there appears to have been a major transfer of future contracts by the commercial holders who are now net short.  This is not unprecedented and happened at the end of last year.  This does...

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COT Index – Canadian Dollar 23rd March 2009

The COT index for the Canadian Dollar is extremely interesting on several levels and in particular teaches us an important aspect of the patience required when interpreting the chart.  A quick comparison between the COT data and the spot market chart for the usd/cad highlights...

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